Evaluation of incentive policies for electric vehicles: An experimental study on Jeju Island

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.06.015Get rights and content

Abstract

In Korea, electric vehicles (EVs) are considered as a potential solution for counteracting environmental issues that have arisen due to vehicles with internal combustion engine. Therefore, a multitude of incentives have been offered to the consumers but the effectiveness of those incentives varied due to diverse consumer perceptions on various incentives. To evaluate consumer behavior toward the incentives for EVs, this study performed stated preference experiments of actual EV owners. The experiments showed that, compared with the potential consumers, actual EV owners exhibited a greater inconvenience to charging time. For the incentives, EV owners showed different preferences to the different incentive measures. Especially, they have far greater preference for subsidies during their ownership period, such as discounts to the electricity charging rate and operation subsidies, than for those at the time of purchase, such as purchase subsidies and charger installation. These findings suggest that it would be more effective to formulate an incentive policy that reflects diverse consumer behavior toward EV incentive measures.

Introduction

The transportation sector is responsible for 14% of the world's greenhouse gas emissions; this is projected to increase up to 50% by 2030 (IEA, 2007). As the need for reducing greenhouse gases has emerged as a global task, the automobile market starts to expand the production of environmentally-friendly vehicles. Electric vehicles (EVs), which can gradually replace internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) in the current transportation system, are considered as a potential solution to environmental issues. Hence, many countries have taken actions to promote EVs (Zhang et al., 2014). These actions include various incentive policies such as purchase subsidy, operation subsidy, free parking, and access to high occupancy vehicle lanes. However, EV sales have been sluggish, representing only 0.9% of automobile sales worldwide in 2015 (IEA, 2016) due to various disadvantages such as high purchase price, short driving distance, and insufficient charging infrastructure. Like governments of other countries, the Korean government announced a “Green Car Roadmap” in 2010 with the vision of Korea becoming one of the four leaders worldwide in global green car power. This plan aimed to promote the green car industry and to increase rapidly the diffusion of EVs. Furthermore, a law, the “act on the promotion of development and diffusion of environmentally-friendly vehicles,” was legislated in Korea to expedite EV market penetration. As a part of this act, various incentives were offered to EV buyers to make these vehicles more attractive and competitive with ICEVs. Despite these efforts, only 11.7 thousand EVs had been sold by the end of 2016; this number was slightly over 13% of the government target.

Compared with the sluggish EV market in other regions in South Korea, EV sales in Jeju Island have grown successfully over the past 4 years. Since the incentive policy went into effect in 2013, more than 5890 EVs – over 55.2% of all EV sales in South Korea, and 2.8% of all passenger car sales on Jeju Island – have been sold and registered on Jeju Island as of 2016 (MOLIT Statistics System). A major reason for this success is that the Jeju Self-governing Province has actively expanded its public charging infrastructure and offered various incentives to Jeju residents in addition to the ones provided by the Korean government. For the subsidy, the applicants should be residents of Jeju island who have not received the EV subside previously. Once they are selected for the subsidy, the upfront subsidy is given for the purchase if they retain the ownership for at least two years. Otherwise, the owner (i.e., subsidy recipient) should fully return the upfront subsidy. Meanwhile, the operation incentives such as discounts of annual vehicle tax and charging electricity rate are provided as long as the EVs are in operation (even after the ownership is transferred). These incentives on Jeju Island are summarized in Table 1.

Despite the successful promotion of EVs that the various incentives have collectively achieved on Jeju Island, the satisfaction level of each policy varies. A consumer satisfaction survey which was previously conducted in Jeju Island showed that EV owners were more satisfied with the subsidies during operation period than at the purchase, and less satisfied with non-monetary benefits such as battery warranty (Son, 2014). In this study, however, the satisfaction levels were measured qualitatively based on consumers’ anecdotal responses. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate people’s perceptions of the different incentives so that more effective policy measures can be formulated to ease budget constraints. In view of this, this study collected survey responses from actual EV owners who had already scrutinized and experienced the various incentives, and evaluated the effects of those measures on the purchases of EVs. To this end, the following section reviews survey methods and the literature on policy measures that affect EV consumer behavior. Section 3 provides descriptions of the design of the stated preference survey and the data collected in this study. In Section 4, the statistical analysis used to evaluate the data is explained; the outcomes from this analysis are documented in Section 5. The final section summarizes findings and suggests directions for formulating policy measures and alternative policies that may enhance the effects of the incentive policy.

Section snippets

Literature review

The high price of EVs is considered one of the major obstacle to the diffusion of EVs in the automobile market (Larson et al., 2014). Thus, various types of incentives have been offered to EV consumers with the intention of encouraging the EV market penetration (Yang et al., 2016). The effectiveness of these incentives were evaluated by previous studies, which can be categorized into two groups. One type of study analyzed the changes in market share of EVs with respect to the time of initiation

Stated preference (SP) experiment design

Since incentives implemented in Jeju island were invariant, it was not possible to observe consumers’ reveled preference to different levels of incentive measures although the survey respondents were actual EV owners. Hence, the survey was designed using SP methods to observe consumer responses to virtual choice scenarios with various levels of attributes. For each choice scenario, therefore, two EV alternatives with different attributes were given to survey participants. There are a total of

Model specifications

In this study, we used the multinomial logit model to analyze the stated preference data from the survey to understand how the attributes affect the probability of EV choice. To this end, utility of the survey participants is expressed as functions of attributes, including EV characteristics, and incentives and subsidies. The utility of the ith participant choosing the jth alternative out of J alternatives is Uij=β·xij+εij, where β is a coefficient vector, xij is an input vector, and εij is

Estimated outcomes

The survey data that were collected in this study were 1080 valid responses from 216 participants (five choice scenarios from each participant). The estimated outcomes for Set 1, Set 2 and Sets 1 and 2 combined are summarized in Table 5. As can be seen in the table, all the estimated coefficients were statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Furthermore, the signs of the coefficients were estimated as intuitively expected. For the variables associated with cost and time, the

Conclusions

Various incentives and subsidies have been introduced to encourage the use of EVs in many countries, including South Korea. This study is to better understand people’s perception on incentives for EVs in a disaggregate way, which can therefore be developed into various policy suggestions for distributing more EVs. The individual effectiveness of such incentives and subsidies varies because customer perception of them is not identical when they are provided in different forms. In view of this,

Acknowledgement

This research was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea grant funded by the Korea government (MSIP) (NRF-2014R1A2A1A11052725).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

References (50)

  • M.K. Hidrue et al.

    Willingness to pay for electric vehicles and their attributes

    Resour. Energy Econ.

    (2011)
  • A. Hoen et al.

    A choice experiment on alternative fuel vehicle preferences of private car owners in the Netherlands

    Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract.

    (2014)
  • M. Horne et al.

    Improving behavioral realism in hybrid energy-economy models using discrete choice studies of personal transportation decisions

    Energy Econ.

    (2005)
  • K. Jang et al.

    Dual influences on vehicle speed in special-use lanes and critique of US regulation

    Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract.

    (2012)
  • A.F. Jensen et al.

    On the stability of preferences and attitudes before and after experiencing an electric vehicle

    Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

    (2013)
  • R.M. Krause et al.

    Perception and reality: public knowledge of plug-in electric vehicles in 21 U.S. cities

    Energy Policy

    (2013)
  • K.S. Kurani et al.

    Demand for electric vehicles in hybrid households: an exploratory analysis

    Transp. Policy

    (1994)
  • P.D. Larson et al.

    Consumer attitudes about electric cars: pricing analysis and policy implications

    Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract.

    (2014)
  • P. Mau et al.

    The ‘neighbor effect’: simulating dynamics in consumer preferences for new vehicle technologies

    Ecol. Econ.

    (2008)
  • A.C. Mersky et al.

    Effectiveness of incentives on electric vehicle adoption in Norway

    Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

    (2016)
  • P. Plötz et al.

    Who will buy electric vehicles? Identifying early adopters in Germany

    Transp. Res. Part A: Policy Pract.

    (2014)
  • D. Potoglou et al.

    Household demand and willingness to pay for clean vehicles

    Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

    (2007)
  • L. Qian et al.

    Heterogeneous consumer preferences for alternative fuel cars in China

    Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

    (2011)
  • J. Shin et al.

    Impact of electric vehicles on existing car usage: a mixed multiple discrete–continuous extreme value model approach

    Transp. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

    (2012)
  • W. Sierzchula et al.

    The influence of financial incentives and other socio-economic factors on electric vehicle adoption

    Energy Policy

    (2014)
  • Cited by (42)

    • Smart home insurance: Collaboration and pricing

      2024, European Journal of Operational Research
    • Does range or fiscal policies matter on EV adoption in Jakarta Metropolitan Area?

      2024, Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
    View all citing articles on Scopus
    View full text